New research on the PC market in the US shows that many of the sectors included (tablets, desktops and mobile devices included) will show a negative or almost flat rate of growth between now and 2023. This is thought to be due to economic factors, in that American GDP is also thought to show a similar, indifferent level of performance.
Accordingly, consumers may be that much more reluctant to update or replace their electronics over the same period. However, it may also be that certain categories of PC may get more popular at the expense of others. For example, conventional desktops are projected to show a compound annual growth rate (or CAGR) of 0.3%, whereas the 2-in-1 form factor may exhibit a CAGR of 8.3%.
Similarly, traditional notebooks may have a CAGR of -0.9% over the next 4 years, whereas convertible analogs may show one of as much as 21%. However, tablets without keyboards are projected to show a CAGR of -4.7% over the same period, whereas smartphones will grow at 1.9%.
The total compound rate until 2023 of all these device categories combined will thus be a paltry 1%. On the other hand, this report makes for more positive reading in terms of consumer demand for more portable or streamlined devices as opposed to traditional bulky computers.