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Fujitsu believes tablet sales will dominate PCs by 2016

The low price, ease of use and mobility of tablets could be enough to overthrow stationary PCs and even notebooks

The future of PCs could be in the decline, at least according to Fujitsu’s chief technology officer Joseph Reger.

In Reger’s vision, the CTO sees tablets cannibalizing consumer desktop and notebook sales as tablet prices continue to drop, until 2016 when he expects sales to surpass PCs and notebooks. According to The Register, Reger used the rumored Amazon tablet as an example of a low-priced tablet where consumers could purchase multiple units to keep around the house at convenient locations. “They would no longer need to go to a special room in the house where the desktop PC is located, with tablets just left lying around and fetched whenever you needed to use one,” said The Register.

Additionally, the success and usability of the iPad are also convincing factors that support Reger’s claims. Obtaining content through tablets could be much easier and faster than PCs, although businesses will still be relying on PCs for content creation.

Reger isn’t the only one with high hopes for tablets. The CEA recently predicted tablets catching up to sales of HDTVs and DisplaySearch expects around 172.4 million units to ship by 2014. Still, certain market research groups such as the NPD are not convinced that tablets are responsible for falling PC sales. Regardless, there is no denying the runaway success of the iPad in today’s market and its influence on investors and competing manufacturers.


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Allen Ngo, 2011-08- 3 (Update: 2012-05-26)